- PII
- 10.31857/S0869587323100031-1
- DOI
- 10.31857/S0869587323100031
- Publication type
- Status
- Published
- Authors
- Volume/ Edition
- Volume 93 / Issue number 10
- Pages
- 930-941
- Abstract
- The article is the first of the two contributions based upon the authors’ studies and reports provided to Horizon-2040. The latter is a project organized by the Agency for Strategic Initiatives serving a platform for strategic dialogue to determine the role and position of Russia in the international arena in 2040 and produce scenarios for the national long-term development trends in the key areas, environment and climate inclusive. The current state of the global environmental and climate change issues is contemplated. Also considered is dynamics of these issues within the past 50 years in terms of the global sustainable development priorities. A qualitative forecast of the state and expected developments in coping with the issues above by 2040 is introduced. The key challenges associated with the World Ocean, land waters, air quality, environmental situation in the cities, climate and biodiversity issues are briefly discussed. The priority strategic role of biodiversity in sustainable development of the world community and economy within the long term perspective is substantiated. Emphasized arwpoor understanding and under-evaluation of adaptation policy role in the global climate agenda. Distinguished are the four types of key events according to their contribution to the homo ecologicus formation. Also disclosed are the four key factors precipitating the existing poor situation in environmental and climate policy areas and tendencies of their further deterioration which (factors) involve public awareness, value system and human activity attitudes.
- Keywords
- экология экологическая культура биоразнообразие климат экономика адаптация.
- Date of publication
- 01.10.2023
- Year of publication
- 2023
- Number of purchasers
- 0
- Views
- 65
References
- 1. Stockholm Declaration of the United Nations Conference on the Human Environment. 1972. https://stockholmdeclaration.org/about/
- 2. IPCC, 2021: Summary for Policymakers // Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, N.Y.: Cambridge University Press, 2021. P. 3–32. https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ ar6/wg1/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGI_SPM.pdf
- 3. Niccolucci V., Pulselli F., Tiezzi M.E. Strengthening the threshold hypothesis: Economic and biophysical limits to growth // Ecological Economics. 2007. V. 60. P. 667–672.
- 4. Rockström J., Steffen W., Noone K. et al. Planetary Boundaries: Exploring the Safe Operating Space for Humanity // Ecology and Society. 2009. V. 14 (2). Art. 32.
- 5. Rockström J., Gupta J., Qin D. et al. Safe and just Earth system boundaries // Nature. 2023. V. 619 (7968). P. 102–111.
- 6. UNESCO’s Contribution to the UN World Water Development Report. 2015. Facing the Challenges. Case Studies and Indicators. https://unesdoc.unesco.org/ images/0023/002321/232179E.pdf
- 7. https:/report.ipcc.ch/ar6wg2/pdf/IPCC_AR6_WGII_ SummaryForPolicymakers.pdf
- 8. State of Global Air 2020. Special Report. Boston: Health Effects Institute, 2020. https://www.stateofglobalair.org/
- 9. Report from the Commission to the European Parliament, the Council, the European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions “First 'Zero pollution' Monitoring and Outlook: Pathways towards cleaner air, water and soil for Europe”. 2020. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/ PDF/?uri=CELEX:52022DC0674
- 10. IPCC, 2022: Summary for Policymakers // Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, N.Y.: Cambridge University Press, 2022.
- 11. Health impact of Air Quality in Europe 2022. European Environmental Agency (EEA) Web Report 2022. https://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/air-quality-in-europe-2022/health-impacts-of-air-pollution
- 12. Данилов-Данильян В.И. Экологические, экономические и политические аспекты проблемы Киотского протокола // Возможности предотвращения изменений климата и его негативных последствий. Проблема Киотского протокола: материалы Совета-семинара при президенте РАН / Под ред. Ю.А. Израэля. М.: Наука, 2006.
- 13. The Global Risks Report 2023. World Economic Forum 2023. https://www.weforum.org/reports/global-risks-report-2023
- 14. United Nations Environment Programme. Adaptation Gap Report 2022: Too Little, Too Slow – Climate adaptation failure puts world at risk. Nairobi, 2022. https://www.unep.org/adaptation-gap-report-2022
- 15. Порфирьев Б.Н. Декарбонизация versus адаптация экономики к климатическим изменениям в стратегии устойчивого развития // Проблемы прогнозирования. 2022. № 4. С. 45–54.
- 16. Deutz A., Heal G.M., Niu R. et al. Financing Nature: Closing the global biodiversity financing gap. The Paulson Institute, The Nature Conservancy, and the Cornell Atkinson Center for Sustainability, 2020.
- 17. Acting on Internal Climate Migration // Доклад Всемирного банка Groundswell. 2021. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/entities/publication/ 2c9150df-52c3-58ed-9075-d78ea56c3267
