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RAS PresidiumВестник Российской академии наук Herald of the Russian Academy of Sciences

  • ISSN (Print) 0869-5873
  • ISSN (Online) 3034-5200

Long-term demographic forecasting

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PII
10.31857/S0869587323010048-1
DOI
10.31857/S0869587323010048
Publication type
Status
Published
Authors
M. A. Piradov
  • Affiliation: State Academic University for the Humanities (GAUGN)
Volume/ Edition
Volume 93 / Issue number 1
Pages
21-35
Abstract
The results of the latest demographic forecasts from the world’s leading specialized centers (United Nations Population Division, the Wittgenstein Center for Demography and Global Human Capital, the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation) are considered, demonstrating a certain bias in favor of individual countries and their calculation methods. The second part of this article provides a description of a digital twin of the planet’s demographic system constructed by a Chinese−Russian team and implemented in China’s national supercomputer center. In addition, the results of some calculations carried out using this tool are described.
Keywords
демографические прогнозы агент-ориентированные модели вычислительные эксперименты.
Date of publication
17.09.2025
Year of publication
2025
Number of purchasers
0
Views
18

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